Updated Tue Nov 3, 4:37 PM ET · sample site
NHL · every game tonight
Moneyline or puck line, whichever the model prefers. Prices are Polymarket asks in cents (= implied %).
TOR adj xG% 47.9 vs 57.4; goalies Sergei Bobrovsky -0.00 vs Sebastian Cossa -0.27 GSAx/60; home ice
Goalies: Sebastian Cossa (Confirmed) vs Sergei Bobrovsky (Confirmed)
MTL adj xG% 50.4 vs 44.5; goalies Jacob Fowler +0.54 vs Stuart Skinner +0.10 GSAx/60; home ice
Goalies: Stuart Skinner (Unconfirmed) vs Jacob Fowler (Confirmed)
DET adj xG% 52.5 vs 56.3; goalies John Gibson -0.31 vs Andrei Vasilevskiy -0.14 GSAx/60; B2B: DET
Goalies: John Gibson (Unconfirmed) vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (Unconfirmed)
STL adj xG% 50.0 vs 50.7; goalies Joel Hofer +0.15 vs Dylan Garand -0.03 GSAx/60
Goalies: Joel Hofer (Confirmed) vs Dylan Garand (Confirmed)
PHI adj xG% 41.3 vs 59.6; goalies Dan Vladar +0.01 vs Jesper Wallstedt +0.45 GSAx/60; home ice
Goalies: Jesper Wallstedt (Confirmed) vs Dan Vladar (Confirmed)
PIT adj xG% 48.2 vs 55.4; goalies Arturs Silovs +0.13 vs Adin Hill -0.12 GSAx/60; B2B: VGK; home ice
Goalies: Adin Hill (Unconfirmed) vs Arturs Silovs (Confirmed)
DAL adj xG% 51.8 vs 49.9; goalies Jake Oettinger +0.46 vs Logan Thompson +0.19 GSAx/60
Goalies: Jake Oettinger (Confirmed) vs Logan Thompson (Confirmed)
CBJ adj xG% 44.0 vs 56.3; goalies Cam Talbot +0.17 vs Scott Wedgewood -0.22 GSAx/60; B2B: COL; home ice
Goalies: Scott Wedgewood (Confirmed) vs Cam Talbot (Confirmed)
EDM adj xG% 53.7 vs 58.7; goalies Tristan Jarry -0.09 vs Connor Hellebuyck +0.04 GSAx/60
Goalies: Tristan Jarry (Confirmed) vs Connor Hellebuyck (Confirmed)
NSH adj xG% 48.8 vs 61.7; goalies Juuse Saros +0.13 vs Pyotr Kochetkov +0.46 GSAx/60; home ice
Goalies: Pyotr Kochetkov (Likely) vs Juuse Saros (Confirmed)
VAN adj xG% 38.2 vs 46.2; goalies Kevin Lankinen -0.87 vs Laurent Brossoit -0.01 GSAx/60; home ice
Goalies: Laurent Brossoit (Confirmed) vs Kevin Lankinen (Likely)
NHL expected goals
| # | Team | GP | Adj xG% (all) | Adj xG% 5v5 | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 16 | 61.7 | 60.9 | 62.6 | 40.2 |
| 2 | MIN | 16 | 59.6 | 57.0 | 62.9 | 44.9 |
| 3 | NJD | 14 | 58.7 | 58.5 | 49.3 | 34.6 |
| 4 | UTA | 15 | 57.4 | 58.3 | 53.5 | 40.3 |
| 5 | COL | 15 | 56.3 | 55.2 | 51.6 | 40.6 |
| 6 | TBL | 13 | 56.3 | 55.8 | 48.8 | 38.5 |
| 7 | VGK | 16 | 55.4 | 54.7 | 53.5 | 42.7 |
| 8 | EDM | 15 | 53.7 | 49.8 | 46.0 | 40.6 |
| 9 | FLA | 15 | 53.2 | 53.8 | 50.5 | 44.8 |
| 10 | DET | 15 | 52.5 | 53.7 | 50.0 | 44.1 |
| 11 | OTT | 16 | 51.9 | 53.1 | 52.7 | 49.7 |
| 12 | DAL | 14 | 51.8 | 50.0 | 42.0 | 38.3 |
| 13 | NYR | 15 | 50.7 | 50.9 | 47.8 | 46.4 |
| 14 | BOS | 16 | 50.7 | 53.1 | 50.8 | 50.0 |
| 15 | MTL | 14 | 50.4 | 54.0 | 46.8 | 47.0 |
| 16 | LAK | 13 | 50.3 | 49.0 | 39.6 | 40.1 |
| 17 | STL | 14 | 50.0 | 49.7 | 42.4 | 41.7 |
| 18 | WSH | 13 | 49.9 | 52.9 | 46.2 | 45.8 |
| 19 | NSH | 14 | 48.8 | 46.7 | 44.7 | 45.9 |
| 20 | BUF | 14 | 48.6 | 49.9 | 44.4 | 46.5 |
| 21 | PIT | 14 | 48.2 | 51.4 | 46.9 | 49.9 |
| 22 | TOR | 16 | 47.9 | 45.8 | 49.7 | 54.0 |
| 23 | NYI | 14 | 46.7 | 50.3 | 40.8 | 46.9 |
| 24 | ANA | 14 | 46.2 | 44.2 | 43.0 | 50.4 |
| 25 | SEA | 14 | 45.7 | 45.8 | 39.5 | 48.2 |
| 26 | CGY | 15 | 44.6 | 45.3 | 40.6 | 48.9 |
| 27 | WPG | 15 | 44.5 | 45.2 | 43.7 | 53.5 |
| 28 | CBJ | 12 | 44.0 | 46.2 | 33.4 | 41.3 |
| 29 | SJS | 16 | 42.9 | 42.5 | 47.8 | 63.2 |
| 30 | CHI | 15 | 42.4 | 39.5 | 41.1 | 54.4 |
| 31 | PHI | 16 | 41.3 | 38.9 | 41.0 | 57.1 |
| 32 | VAN | 16 | 38.2 | 38.5 | 40.3 | 63.3 |